Michaël van de Poppe
Rank #2@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
Accuracy
50.6%
Wilson LB 39.7%
Directional sample
77
Meets rank minimum
Correct / incorrect
39 / 38
Neutral
73
Resolution rate 51%
vs always-bullish
-7.8 pts
Baseline 58.4%
Pending · unresolved · unscored
1 · 0 · 404
Accuracy trend
By publication month · 24 hours horizon
Bullish / bearish split
By asset
3 months · 24h
- BTC 44 directional43.2%
- ETH 24 directional58.3%
- SOL 9 directional66.7%
Prediction history
555 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
- 31 Jul 2026, 13:43 UTC
“If this happens: Japan will sell their US bonds. The yields in the US will go down --> no reason to hold the Dollar --> the Dollar will fall --> liquidity needs to move elsewhere as the cheap money isn't available --> this will go into risk-on assets --> $NQ and $BTC to go up --> $ETH to outperform --> #Altcoins to have their first run.”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat - 31 Jul 2026, 13:43 UTC
“If this happens: Japan will sell their US bonds. The yields in the US will go down --> no reason to hold the Dollar --> the Dollar will fall --> liquidity needs to move elsewhere as the cheap money isn't available --> this will go into risk-on assets --> $NQ and $BTC to go up --> $ETH to outperform --> #Altcoins to have their first run.”
ETH▲ Bullishexplicit - 31 Jul 2026, 11:01 UTC
“Despite the fact that we're in a lower timeframe chop, the higher timeframes remain the same. $ETH is holding above $1,800 and as long as that's the case, there's not much to worry. I still remain positive that we'll be seeing a case of $2,500 in the coming months. https://t.co/ntHlZ0zmQ5”
ETH▲ Bullishexplicit - 31 Jul 2026, 09:53 UTC
“The Nasdaq continues to run, but #Bitcoin falls down. Why? The Coldcard hardware wallet drain of $38M $BTC has hit the markets today. Overall, the structure remains intact, it's still, barely, holding above the 21-Day MA and 50-Day MA. If this doesn't hold, there's one support level left: $60,000-61,000 and that's where we need to find buyers otherwise new lows are imminent. However, as the Nasdaq is showing so much strength, I wouldn't be surprised if this comes back to Bitcoin after the US open.”
BTC▼ Bearishinferred - 30 Jul 2026, 20:21 UTC
“If $ETH breaks through the $1,975 area, I don't think this will stall soon, my first target region is at $2,300. https://t.co/C29OCoGWdP”
ETH▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat - 30 Jul 2026, 19:20 UTC
“As #Bitcoin continues to hold above the 21-Day MA and 50-Day MA, I continue to expect a rally towards $73,000 and potentially $83,000. https://t.co/Rg78Ts3boh”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat - 30 Jul 2026, 18:19 UTC
“The bull cycles of 2017, 2021 and 2024 all started by the fact that the Dollar fell down. Trump wants a weaker dollar, now Japan needs a weaker dollar too. That's why tomorrow is important, are the Japanese Yields going to go down and the Dollar continue to fall, that's a strong trigger for a multi-month run on #Crypto and #Bitcoin.”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicit - 30 Jul 2026, 17:17 UTC
“If the strength on the Japanese Yen continues, and the Dollar continues to fall, It's very likely that the Yields on Government bonds will go down. It's very likely that liquidity flows towards risk-on assets. #Bitcoin's bull run then has started.”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat - 30 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC
“The previous time that the Nasdaq bounced upwards from the lows resulted into the recent rally of #Bitcoin from $66,000 to $83,000. I think we're close to a similar situation where then Nasdaq is likely to bounce upwards and #Bitcoin will outperform to the same regions. https://t.co/FiPMD3k8q1”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicit - 30 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC
“The crucial area for $BTC to break through is the $68,000 area. If it manages to break through that zone, we're going up quite quickly and the 50-Week MA at $85,000 becomes the target coming months. A solid move after the FOMC meeting and Trump's announcement of attacks on Iran. Overall, I would say that the price of Bitcoin is resilient and as it's still holding above important MA's, I think that we're going to see a strong move upwards still.”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicit - 30 Jul 2026, 10:47 UTC
“As long as $ETH remains above the 21-Day MA and the 50-Day MA, higher prices are likely going to follow. Today; - PCE Inflation - Advance GDP Big day for macroeconomic data and as Warsh mentioned, they'll be monitoring the data and the market response on their policy. If data is right, I would expect the Nasdaq to bounce and probably the momentum shifts quite quickly towards the Clarity Act. For now, I expect to see higher prices on Ethereum.”
ETH▲ Bullishexplicit - 29 Jul 2026, 20:09 UTC
“Muy grande news. Absolutely another big drop coming in tomorrow with this close in the markets. I wouldn't expect to see a lot of bounce, unless: - PCE comes in better than expected. - Oil comes down and the current escalation is over. If neither happen, we'll continue to fall with #Bitcoin and Nasdaq.”
BTC▼ Bearishexplicitrepeat - 29 Jul 2026, 18:46 UTC
“The FED remains hawkish, and wants to see a market response and is monitoring that. Overall, it seems to me that the influence of the FED is getting lower by the day. No rate hike is actually a good sign, and they'll be looking at what the markets will do going forward towards the next meeting. #Bitcoin back up to $64,400.”
BTC▲ Bullishinferred - 29 Jul 2026, 17:35 UTC
“This is an important day, regardless. #Bitcoin continues to hold onto the lower timeframe uptrend, but quickly losing $63,000 and a test of $61,000 and losing confidence is the next phase. All eyes on the FOMC, probably nothing changes and no rate hikes take place, the more important is what Warsh will do forward-looking. CPI and PPI data has come down.”
BTC▼ Bearishexplicitrepeat - 29 Jul 2026, 16:33 UTC
“Classic dump taking place pre-FOMC, like it always happens. Traders fear a potential outcome that isn't favourable for the markets, so they sell their risk-on assets like $BTC and $NQ.”
BTC▼ Bearishexplicit
