Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 31 Jul 2026, 09:53 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
The Nasdaq continues to run, but #Bitcoin falls down. Why? The Coldcard hardware wallet drain of $38M $BTC has hit the markets today. Overall, the structure remains intact, it's still, barely, holding above the 21-Day MA and 50-Day MA. If this doesn't hold, there's one support level left: $60,000-61,000 and that's where we need to find buyers otherwise new lows are imminent. However, as the Nasdaq is showing so much strength, I wouldn't be surprised if this comes back to Bitcoin after the US open.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “If this doesn't hold, there's one support level left: $60,000-61,000 and that's where we need to find buyers otherwise new lows are imminent.”
- Confidence
- 60%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (60%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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