Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Jul 2026, 20:09 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 29 Jul 2026, 19:50 UTC · context given to the AI
TRUMP: US WILL RESPOND TO ATTACK ON BASE IN JORDAN LAST NIGHT TRUMP SAYS PATRIOT SYSTEM DEFENDED US BASE LAST NIGHTMuy grande news. Absolutely another big drop coming in tomorrow with this close in the markets. I wouldn't expect to see a lot of bounce, unless: - PCE comes in better than expected. - Oil comes down and the current escalation is over. If neither happen, we'll continue to fall with #Bitcoin and Nasdaq.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “This is an important day, regardless. #Bitcoin continues to hold onto the lower timeframe uptrend, but quickly losing $63,000 and a test of $61,000 and losing confidence is the next phase. All eyes on the FOMC, probably nothing changes and no rate hikes take place, the more important is what Warsh will do forward-looking. CPI and PPI data has come down.”Repeat29 Jul 2026, 17:35 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “If neither happen, we'll continue to fall with #Bitcoin and Nasdaq.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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