Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Jul 2026, 18:46 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
The FED remains hawkish, and wants to see a market response and is monitoring that. Overall, it seems to me that the influence of the FED is getting lower by the day. No rate hike is actually a good sign, and they'll be looking at what the markets will do going forward towards the next meeting. #Bitcoin back up to $64,400.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “#Bitcoin back up to $64,400.”
- Confidence
- 60%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (60%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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