🐧

Provisional

@Pentosh1 · full time larp

Coverage 15 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026

Accuracy

71.4%

Wilson LB 35.9%

Directional sample

7

3 more to rank

Correct / incorrect

5 / 2

Neutral

4

Resolution rate 64%

vs always-bullish

+0.0 pts

Baseline 71.4%

Pending · unresolved · unscored

0 · 0 · 15

Accuracy trend

By publication month · 24 hours horizon

0%25%50%75%100%always-bullish 71%0 directional outcomes3 directional outcomes4 directional outcomes0 directional outcomesAug: 66.7% (3 outcomes)Sept: 75.0% (4 outcomes)JulAugSeptOct
AccuracyAlways-bullish baselineSample size

Bullish / bearish split

▲ Bullish10 calls · 7 directional71.4%
▼ Bearish1 calls · 0 directional—

By asset

3 months · 24h

  • BTC 1 directional0.0%
  • ETH 4 directional100.0%
  • SOL 2 directional50.0%

Prediction history

26 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence

  • 1 Oct 2026, 17:17 UTC

    “$BTC consolidation almost done and ready for the next move up. Would like to see a move towards 90k in the short term https://t.co/xal3fZ91AF”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 25 Sept 2026, 13:34 UTC

    “$SOL, slow grinding up, would love to see it pop up between now and the Sunday evening close but this looks good against every pair in the space right now https://t.co/nTha8GGZu1 https://t.co/BqCeu4Ax2v”

    SOL▲ Bullishexplicit
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 21 Sept 2026, 15:49 UTC

    “$ETH could certainly be more explosive now that $BMNR mnav is above 1 and we are making higher highs and higher lows allowing them to accumulate more rapidly feeding a positive feedback loop and as supply shrinks the bid accelerates for now”

    ETH▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 21 Sept 2026, 14:03 UTC

    “$SOL moving as well, big week. hopefully https://t.co/fw62Y2e1ps https://t.co/BqCeu4Ax2v”

    SOL▲ Bullishinferred
    -0.94%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 21 Sept 2026, 00:49 UTC

    “$ETH new highs. Let's gooooo”

    ETH▲ Bullishinferred
    +2.45%correctEvidence ↗
  • 18 Sept 2026, 14:34 UTC

    “solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 also has pretty clear skies here, potentially setting up for a move to 128-140 area for the next range, possibly ending this current accumulation range its also been in the past month https://t.co/ls2Zz9oh2i”

    SOL▲ Bullishinferred
    +0.95%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 18 Sept 2026, 14:29 UTC

    “$ETH still looks good for 3-3.2k imo and could finally be breaking out after a month of consolidation https://t.co/efe0eK6pBh https://t.co/mWHOaBLPw0”

    ETH▲ Bullishexplicit
    +2.19%correctEvidence ↗
  • 17 Sept 2026, 12:17 UTC

    “$ETH I had been hoping to get some adds below the equal lows to start this week, came close but didnt get them which is unfortunate haha. https://t.co/88ztZF3g1E https://t.co/mWHOaBLPw0”

    ETH▲ Bullishinferred
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 12 Sept 2026, 17:31 UTC

    “Crazy how different all the charts look out there in terms of market structure. Which is actually nice bc it filters out a lot of trades and allows you to be a lot more selective in finding good setups overall on majors. $Eth is another Id like to add to early next week. Feels like after its next rally, whenever that is we will be seeing around 3.2k possibly. Would love to get a sweep lower first if given for those adds”

    ETH▲ Bullishinferred
    -0.83%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 7 Sept 2026, 13:40 UTC

    “$PUMP update, nice reaction, could be setting a higher low https://t.co/oEzxykiU0t https://t.co/abesBgzvcu”

    SOL▲ Bullishinferred
    -2.32%incorrectEvidence ↗
  • 6 Sept 2026, 00:45 UTC

    “Started to get some solana:pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn fills and start buying back for round 2 on pump. Looking for here down into the .0036xx range if given. But good place to begin https://t.co/7mxjqAeUmL”

    SOL▲ Bullishexplicit
    +2.74%correctEvidence ↗
  • 3 Sept 2026, 23:48 UTC

    “My target for solana:98sMhvDwXj1RQi5c5Mndm3vPe9cBqPrbLaufMXFNMh5g is $238,855. Which is the distance from the earth to the moon. Bc thats where we should be going if this is what I hope it is. hl coded? https://t.co/rwYXWuHTh5”

    SOL▲ Bullishinferred
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 27 Aug 2026, 16:27 UTC

    “Even $BMNR is now back at 1.05x mnvav which means we could see them start accumulating ethereum:native at a faster pace. A huge shift in the dats Dips if given are for adding, but this has a strong chance at trading at 3k in the near future. https://t.co/VKI0lzCTWn https://t.co/V4c1Db8gsX”

    ETH▲ Bullishexplicit
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 22 Aug 2026, 05:40 UTC

    “i sold the full stack of zec and 5,989 of the hype. here at 790 and 79. wasnt meant to be a swing or anything. was literally just hoping to get a scam wick and got incredibly lucky. and thats what that was. luck. kept the extra 10k hype bc thats my focus. also had bids on btc at 74,450 but they didnt hit. although ill keep those open.”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferred
    -1.71%incorrectEvidence ↗
  • 21 Aug 2026, 01:35 UTC

    “in these types of moves, lockout trends, you often aren't going to get that standard pullback and retest. any low time frame wipeouts are typically buys that will often V reverse. hopefully we get a good 4-6 weeks of some nice trends. not a lot of quality to choose from, but there is some decent plays you can sleep in that are liquid, with strong tailwinds. in general looking more at quality then quantity. as has been the play all year. focus will remain low amount of trades, in quality picks. No plans to add anything new at this time to the existing trades. Will continue to trade eth, hype, pump. $Eth has been the strongest mover for majors. $pump would like to see consolidate, and jump back in. $hype I think will make new ath's and looking to add more on dips.”

    ETH▲ Bullishinferred
    +6.29%correctEvidence ↗
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