Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Sept 2026, 14:29 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
🐧
@Pentosh1
Quoting · 12 Sept 2026, 17:31 UTC · context given to the AI
Crazy how different all the charts look out there in terms of market structure. Which is actually nice bc it filters out a lot of trades and allows you to be a lot more selective in finding good setups overall on majors. $Eth is another Id like to add to early next week. Feels like after its next rally, whenever that is we will be seeing around 3.2k possibly. Would love to get a sweep lower first if given for those adds$ETH still looks good for 3-3.2k imo and could finally be breaking out after a month of consolidation https://t.co/efe0eK6pBh https://t.co/mWHOaBLPw0View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,582 at 18 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,638 at 19 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2638.17 / 2581.59 − 1 = +2.19%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +2.19%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$ETH still looks good for 3-3.2k imo”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,582
- Evaluation price
- $2,638
- Move
- +2.19%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0