Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 7 Sept 2026, 13:40 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
🐧
@Pentosh1
Quoting · 6 Sept 2026, 00:45 UTC · context given to the AI
Started to get some solana:pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn fills and start buying back for round 2 on pump. Looking for here down into the .0036xx range if given. But good place to begin https://t.co/7mxjqAeUmL$PUMP update, nice reaction, could be setting a higher low https://t.co/oEzxykiU0t https://t.co/abesBgzvcuView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $105.08 at 7 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $102.64 at 8 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 102.64 / 105.08 − 1 = -2.32%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -2.32%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$PUMP update, nice reaction, could be setting a higher low”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $105.08
- Evaluation price
- $102.64
- Move
- -2.32%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0