Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 12 Sept 2026, 17:31 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
🐧
@Pentosh1
Crazy how different all the charts look out there in terms of market structure. Which is actually nice bc it filters out a lot of trades and allows you to be a lot more selective in finding good setups overall on majors. $Eth is another Id like to add to early next week. Feels like after its next rally, whenever that is we will be seeing around 3.2k possibly. Would love to get a sweep lower first if given for those addsView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,525 at 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,504 at 13 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 2504.29 / 2525.35 − 1 = -0.83%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.83%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Feels like after its next rally, whenever that is we will be seeing around 3.2k possibly.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,525
- Evaluation price
- $2,504
- Move
- -0.83%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0