Michaël van de Poppe

Rank #2

@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast

Coverage 15 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026

Accuracy

50.6%

Wilson LB 39.7%

Directional sample

77

Meets rank minimum

Correct / incorrect

39 / 38

Neutral

73

Resolution rate 51%

vs always-bullish

-7.8 pts

Baseline 58.4%

Pending · unresolved · unscored

1 · 0 · 404

Accuracy trend

By publication month · 24 hours horizon

0%25%50%75%100%always-bullish 58%16 directional outcomes27 directional outcomes28 directional outcomes6 directional outcomesJul: 31.3% (16 outcomes)Aug: 63.0% (27 outcomes)Sept: 50.0% (28 outcomes)Oct: 50.0% (6 outcomes)JulAugSeptOct
AccuracyAlways-bullish baselineSample size

Bullish / bearish split

▲ Bullish134 calls · 65 directional55.4%
▼ Bearish17 calls · 12 directional25.0%

By asset

3 months · 24h

  • BTC 44 directional43.2%
  • ETH 24 directional58.3%
  • SOL 9 directional66.7%

Prediction history

555 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence

  • 2 Oct 2026, 12:59 UTC

    “The unemployment data is 4.2% vs 4.1%. Essentially, there's no data in there. The FED is likely going to remain rates unchanged, which means that we won't have rate cuts. That means = bullish for #Bitcoin. Rates slowly upwards and/or stable is completely fine for the markets. Rate cuts = the end of the bull run.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 2 Oct 2026, 12:19 UTC

    “I don't think that this cycle will have diminishing returns. I think that due to this belief and thesis, people will sell too early in their #Bitcoin on the largest adoption curve we'll likely ever see on Bitcoin in the coming years.”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferred
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 2 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC

    “#Bitcoin has broken upwards, which is great. I would be expecting to see a test at $84,800-85,000 and proceed upwards from there. New yearly high incoming? https://t.co/FKyCD2wYyJ”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 19:19 UTC

    “To be fair, there are multiple assets that are ready to be making a new leg upwards. Ultimately, this comes down to #Bitcoin breaking upwards, for sure. Just having a small eye on the markets, and things like $XPL, $EIGEN, $PLUME and many others are eager for that next push.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 17:42 UTC

    “This is actually great for #Bitcoin. It's finally breaking upwards and it breaks $84,800. Now, if this holds, then we're going to see a lot more momentum on the #Altcoin markets again after a few days of no volatility. https://t.co/DmgzYa4uLI”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 13:58 UTC

    “This concept will continue to happen. Even if #Bitcoin drops a little, people will only be looking to be buying lower. Fun fact: when Bitcoin was trading at $120,000 you'd be super super happy to be buying at $60,000. And then, when it gets there: zero interest. https://t.co/xDEkoLokqC”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferred
    +3.18%correctEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 11:51 UTC

    “It's strongest Q3 in 9 years for #Bitcoin. That means: we're in a bull market. A lot of people think we'll continue to have diminishing returns. Yes, so you're telling me that this also happened with Gold last year? Avoid selling too early, we'll have a parabolic move with Bitcoin in the coming years and I think that a peak is much rather $500,000+ than $150,000.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 10:50 UTC

    “Quite a boring state of mind for #Bitcoin. Those lows are quite interesting to be breaking beneath to be grabbing liquidity before the push upwards. Other than that, just start trending. Would be fun, personally. https://t.co/X4zKE9YX56”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 08:44 UTC

    “The same picture can be seen on $ETH. Break through the resistance, and it's going to be a matter of time until we'll see $ETH trading at $3,000. https://t.co/3ttkXo6WN9”

    ETH▲ Bullishexplicit
    +2.52%correctEvidence ↗
  • 1 Oct 2026, 07:43 UTC

    “Nothing has changed on the picture of #Bitcoin. Break upwards through $84,800 and we're very likely going to be seeing new highs. https://t.co/vhTIhZFS0F”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 30 Sept 2026, 12:35 UTC

    “Great signs. US PCE Inflation comes out lower. US GDP comes out higher. Let's just continue trending higher with #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    -1.82%incorrectEvidence ↗
  • 29 Sept 2026, 20:16 UTC

    “We're still in the middle of a relatively shallow correction on the markets. Shallow because #Altcoins continue to do well: $PUMP, $AAVE, $ETHFI. Bitcoin remains bullish on higher timeframes, so if there's the chance that we're getting a correction towards $82,000, probably that's a great spot to be accumulating.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 29 Sept 2026, 13:30 UTC

    “If you're enthusiastic of the recent moves on the markets on the #Altcoins, then zoom out. This is ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85. You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start. https://t.co/TlL7zfC892”

    ETH▲ Bullishinferred
    -0.63%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 29 Sept 2026, 11:32 UTC

    “A phenomenal weekly close on #Bitcoin signaling that we're in a bull market, meaning that you should be buying the dip for the time being. It's as simple as it is. https://t.co/gagL3yx5LH”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 29 Sept 2026, 10:44 UTC

    “$PLUME is doing great and #Altcoins in general keep on having momentum. I wouldn't be surprised if we're going to continue seeing big breakouts, as yesterday hedera-hashgraph:native, ethereum:0xc944e90c64b2c07662a292be6244bdf05cda44a7 and algorand:native did happen. $PLUME is building up for a similar case.”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
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