Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Sept 2026, 13:30 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
If you're enthusiastic of the recent moves on the markets on the #Altcoins, then zoom out. This is ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85. You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start. https://t.co/TlL7zfC892View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,726 at 29 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,709 at 30 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 2708.97 / 2726.25 − 1 = -0.63%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.63%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,726
- Evaluation price
- $2,709
- Move
- -0.63%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0