Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 2 Oct 2026, 12:19 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
I don't think that this cycle will have diminishing returns. I think that due to this belief and thesis, people will sell too early in their #Bitcoin on the largest adoption curve we'll likely ever see on Bitcoin in the coming years.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I don't think that this cycle will have diminishing returns. I think that due to this belief and thesis, people will sell too early in their #Bitcoin on the largest adoption curve we'll likely ever see on Bitcoin in the coming years.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "in the coming years"; Evidence not found in post
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0