Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Oct 2026, 11:51 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 30 Sept 2026, 11:20 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin is BACK. Numbers say it's a BULL market for crypto. BTC is now about to close Q3 2026 up 43%, its strongest Q3 in 9 years. That is about 400% higher than its average Q3 return of 8.61%. Altcoin market is also up 38% since June, at $1.16T, marking its steepest reversal since last year. That means BTC added $508B+ in market cap, while $319B+ flowed into altcoins in just 3 months. The overall crypto market cap is now back around $2.85T, a level not seen since January. Crypto is so back.
It's strongest Q3 in 9 years for #Bitcoin. That means: we're in a bull market. A lot of people think we'll continue to have diminishing returns. Yes, so you're telling me that this also happened with Gold last year? Avoid selling too early, we'll have a parabolic move with Bitcoin in the coming years and I think that a peak is much rather $500,000+ than $150,000.
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“we'll have a parabolic move with Bitcoin in the coming years and I think that a peak is much rather $500,000+ than $150,000.”
Confidence
90%
Review state
needs review · Unsupported horizon: "in the coming years"
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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