Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 1 Oct 2026, 11:51 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 30 Sept 2026, 11:20 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin is BACK. Numbers say it's a BULL market for crypto. BTC is now about to close Q3 2026 up 43%, its strongest Q3 in 9 years. That is about 400% higher than its average Q3 return of 8.61%. Altcoin market is also up 38% since June, at $1.16T, marking its steepest reversal since last year. That means BTC added $508B+ in market cap, while $319B+ flowed into altcoins in just 3 months. The overall crypto market cap is now back around $2.85T, a level not seen since January. Crypto is so back.It's strongest Q3 in 9 years for #Bitcoin. That means: we're in a bull market. A lot of people think we'll continue to have diminishing returns. Yes, so you're telling me that this also happened with Gold last year? Avoid selling too early, we'll have a parabolic move with Bitcoin in the coming years and I think that a peak is much rather $500,000+ than $150,000.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “we'll have a parabolic move with Bitcoin in the coming years and I think that a peak is much rather $500,000+ than $150,000.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "in the coming years"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
