XO
Provisional@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
Accuracy
33.3%
Wilson LB 6.1%
Directional sample
3
7 more to rank
Correct / incorrect
1 / 2
Neutral
5
Resolution rate 38%
vs always-bullish
-33.3 pts
Baseline 66.7%
Pending · unresolved · unscored
0 · 0 · 4
Accuracy trend
By publication month · 24 hours horizon
Bullish / bearish split
By asset
3 months · 24h
- BTC 3 directional33.3%
- ETH 2 directional50.0%
- SOL 2 directional50.0%
Prediction history
12 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
- 4 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
“@trader1sz Reminds of what happened in 2023... from 25k to 19k if it does”
BTC▼ Bearishinferred - 29 Sept 2026, 10:52 UTC
“$ETH remains rotatational within Monday’s 100-point--ish range, rejecting the 1720s again. Very good intraday/intraweek conditions, but direction remains unresolved. 29s remain the more significant resistance above. Trade there and I’d expect BTC to revisit 86s. Until then, resistance is resistance at 1720s until proven otherwise. Let the liquidity games continue.”
BTC▲ Bullishinferred - 21 Sept 2026, 12:36 UTC
“Was always likely to help fuel the move higher…. Let the liquidity games continue https://t.co/MAib7CDRfR https://t.co/Qh2TuB9wS9”
BTC▲ Bullishinferred - 20 Sept 2026, 13:29 UTC
“Pleasing to see some of this playing out... There’s probably enough evidence now to identify which alts are attracting genuine demand, particularly those already 2–3x off their macro cycle lows with a fundamental driver behind the move. The next leg higher ultimately depends on Bitcoin imo, but any meaningful correction should offer opportunities to build positional exposure in select names over the next several months. The upside could be significant with some patience heading into 2027 imo... Otherwise, simply play the momentum with a set of bands.”
BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat - 19 Sept 2026, 14:30 UTC
“$BTC A weekly close around here should all but confirm the 12/25 EMA crossover... Historically, that shift has preceded some strong momentum phases higher. Interim, $82–83k is the key zone. For continuation longs, I want to see price trade through supply and find acceptance above it alongside the 365D rolling VWAP. Do that and there’s scope for the move to accelerate, particularly if shorts are forced to unwind and would look for price to trade the range qtr / value area high around 90k If rejected, $78.5–79k the 3-week composite VAH... is the first level I want to see hold. Lose that and I’d look for rotation back through value towards the opposite extreme as an intraweek trade. On a deeper HTF correction, $68–72k is the major reaction zone, 12/25 bands + macro mid. Hold there and the broader bullish structure remains intact. Even an extended range, imo, is more about accumulating value than invalidating the HTF thesis. My broader bias shifted in July: see earlier tweet. Spot: buying key levels / confirmed breakouts. Perps: trading level to level on both sides - which is mainly what I comment on... separate from the HTF view. Good luck”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicit - 15 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
“@Tom__Capital 🎯”
BTC▼ Bearishinferred - 11 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC
“$BTC Without getting too caught up in the details of the move, what stood out for me once again was price rejecting from the 50W MA - which ive sold... once again... Its a bull market if price can convincingly reclaim and find acceptance above it... ideally supported by strong passive flows, rather than simply shorts unwinding before price rolls over again - as per today.. Still a range until it isn’t... Current m-vwap line in the sand for me... Until then...”
BTC▼ Bearishexplicitrepeat - 11 Sept 2026, 09:29 UTC
“@dea_yora Currently have downside exposure via alts In terms of bitcoin - still positioned short and took some off overnight... Looking for a reason to cut and reverse...”
BTC▼ Bearishexplicit - 11 Sept 2026, 09:26 UTC
“$BTC This has all but played out, with price gravitating towards previous week’s low and stopping a few hundred dollars short. Two levels stand out from here... previous week’s low 76.1, and previous week’s VAL around 77.4–77.5k. Those are the two levels where participants are currently advertising, and I suspect those levels help define the range through London heading into CPI / NFP and the NY session. If we trade back into the confluence of previous day’s low and previous week’s low, that’s where I’d be interested in a rotational long... particularly if we see aggressive selling absorbed and an inability to auction lower - more so if its liquidation driven - so at this point wont know if the level sticks or not. Equally, acceptance back inside previous week’s value would have me looking for rotation higher towards current week’s VWAP, around the 78.4s. On sunday I was heavily leaning towards a correction and positioned on the short side of several alts heading into the weekly open - which has played out nicely - see previous tweet chain. That said, it’s the weekend... I’m in no hurry to put on trades until next week unless something particularly compelling sets up.”
BTC▲ Bullishinferred - 8 Sept 2026, 12:04 UTC
“Not surprised to see many alts to partially pullback tbh - as is generally the case when heading into uncertainty around CPI or FOMC... Key for me now in terms of context is that Bitcoin is trading below - Previous weeks vwap - Developing weekly vwap - Developing monthly vwap Session wise - failure to find acceptance back above the latter two then my expectation is that we should in theory trade down into previous weeks low... which is what I positioned for on Sunday night along with some alts. Otherwise not much else that I'm interested in at present - mainly talking to myself on here if anything... But pleased with the perfomance so far since coming back to trading in sept - still early days and anticipating a decent month in terms of macro driven volatility.”
BTC▼ Bearishexplicit - 28 Aug 2026, 11:53 UTC
“So another tap on the 50week MA... and rejected again... 1. Consolidation with a higher low or compression under the band gives the likelyhood of expansion... 2. Should price drift way and trade through the 12/21s then were probably in for a longer period of building a base.”
BTC▼ Bearishinferred - 26 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC
“So for what it’s worth - iirc It’s more about how one can use near intents or ZCash zsa’s should the latter eventually be rolled out to mainnet Would it be something I’d use - probably, yes Do I need to hold the relevant crypto - no Most coins are just speculative - still believe it’s over hyped trash that’s good for trading. Bitcoin is king.”
BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
