Prediction evidence

In reply to · 6 Sept 2026, 16:33 UTC · context given to the AI

Sept 15–16 FOMC... around 10 days out Personally not interested in chasing swing longs up here. There have been some fantastic moves across the board and perhaps they continue, but a correction or two over the coming weeks wouldn't surprise me. One thing I'm watching is the continued rotation in OI dominance as per previous occasions. BTC has been steadily losing share while "Others" has expanded considerably, now sitting roughly alongside BTC. Doesn't make it bearish in itself, but it does tell you where the speculative leverage has migrated. Combine that with some fairly thin moves on the way up and, for me, this is more a place to manage existing exposure than start forcing fresh swing longs. No prediction, just recognising that the further leverage moves out the risk curve, the less attractive chasing becomes - and being more selective with trades - as is always the case.