Michaël van de Poppe

Rank #4

@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast

Coverage 15 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026

Accuracy

43.2%

Wilson LB 29.7%

Directional sample

44

Meets rank minimum

Correct / incorrect

19 / 25

Neutral

40

Resolution rate 52%

vs always-bullish

-13.6 pts

Baseline 56.8%

Pending · unresolved · unscored

1 · 0 · 301

Accuracy trend

By publication month · 24 hours horizon

0%25%50%75%100%always-bullish 57%7 directional outcomes14 directional outcomes20 directional outcomes3 directional outcomesJul: 28.6% (7 outcomes)Aug: 57.1% (14 outcomes)Sept: 40.0% (20 outcomes)Oct: 33.3% (3 outcomes)JulAugSeptOct
AccuracyAlways-bullish baselineSample size

Bullish / bearish split

▲ Bullish68 calls · 32 directional50.0%
▼ Bearish17 calls · 12 directional25.0%

By asset

3 months · 24h

  • BTC 44 directional43.2%
  • ETH 24 directional58.3%
  • SOL 9 directional66.7%

Prediction history

386 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence

  • 12 Oct 2026, 15:56 UTC

    “I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”

    BTC▼ Bearishinferred
    —pendingEvidence ↗
  • 12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

    “After years of pain, #altcoins are finally breaking out. They'll go much higher. And then they'll give most of it back. They always do. That's exactly why I stopped holding this portfolio and started trading it, and in my new video I break down the full strategy I'm using to trade this cycle instead of round-tripping it. What I cover: – Why holding makes sense for #Bitcoin, gold and stocks, but not for #altcoins, and what I do instead – Why you read the BTC pair, not just the USD chart: $NEAR ran from $1.20 to $5+ and $ARB did ~300%, but against BTC the chart tells you when to rotate out – Why risk is LOWEST at the bottom when it feels worst, and highest when everything's running, so full allocation belongs to the correction, not the breakout – How narratives rotate: ride the momentum, but scale out while it's still strong and move to the next one before the crowd shows up – Why I'm building cash into this run instead of chasing it, I'll be wrong at some point, and dry powder is what lets me buy the dip instead of becoming it – My gameplan if Bitcoin pushes toward $98K: where I scale out of my biggest positions and start rotating into real long-term assets”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 12 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

    “If you hold a 60/40 portfolio, you are 100% exposed to fiat. That's the message @Matt_Hougan has been repeating to traditional investors for 8 years. For most of that time nobody listened. He told me that this has changed in the last 6 months: "Maybe I should be 90/10, right? 90% fiat, 10% hard assets, which is primarily Bitcoin and gold. If that sort of thinking goes mainstream, you could see huge inflows into Bitcoin, and you could see a price measured in multiple hundreds of thousands of dollars." I agree with him on the direction. Debt keeps growing, deficits stay at $2.5 trillion even during growth, and there is no appetite for austerity. In that world, hard assets are the logical place to go. He also gave a clear view on the rest of the market: "I think Bitcoin is the best risk-adjusted bet in crypto." And on altcoins, he thinks tokenomics are the worst they will ever be, and that they will improve step by step. Bitcoin, ETH, Solana and Chainlink are still the four assets he sees as core exposure. Full conversation with Matt is on the @new_era_finance YouTube channel.”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 12 Oct 2026, 07:36 UTC

    “Naturally, I don't see many reasons to be bearish on #Bitcoin. It's currently facing a crucial resistance zone, which we need to break through. Other than that, this type of low volatility is great for #Altcoins. That's why you see a lot more momentum coming into those altcoins where I think that this won't stop. Breaking $84,000 is a trigger towards potentially $90,000.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 11 Oct 2026, 17:12 UTC

    “I do think that this is the case. Honestly, the next #Bitcoin peak will likely be the tipping point for the entire financial industry. Payment rails on blockchain are so much better as a product than the old financial system. There will be more and more liquidity moving onchain, through which we'll go through a face of years of reorganisation. Before that: the biggest bull cycle ever.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 11 Oct 2026, 16:10 UTC

    “It's very simple. The #Bitcoin bull market has barely started, as we're still massively undervalued vs. literally every asset out there. You're not bullish enough. Erase the case of diminishing returns and just enjoy this cycle. https://t.co/WTOMKLHkqK”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    -1.68%incorrectEvidence ↗
  • 11 Oct 2026, 07:44 UTC

    “#Bitcoin holds crucial levels of support and starts to trend upwards. That means that we're in that period of time where you'd likely are going to see a lot more strength coming in from #Altcoins much rather than Bitcoin. https://t.co/WZeOabYNUY”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

    “It's relatively simple for #Bitcoin. All long liquidity has been taken with this recent sweep. That means, you'd want to see S/R flips on previous resistances becoming support and we'll accelerate back upwards (quite the momentum that we've seen on several #Altcoins already). That's why I'd be looking at a case of holding $82,000 as the next big thing. If that holds, we're going to see a new run towards the highs.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    +0.15%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 9 Oct 2026, 08:32 UTC

    “A pretty solid bounce from the markets as we're seeing a green day after a harsh correction. These corrections happen 1-2 times in a month, and then the markets simply continue to roll upwards. Just buy the dip on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/U1xuliqSsp”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    +0.19%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 8 Oct 2026, 13:57 UTC

    “I've said this before, but this is the area where you'd want to become interested into buying #Bitcoin. Quite an organic correction on the markets and therefore retesting the previous zone of consolidation. https://t.co/eD5EH8AJbk”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 8 Oct 2026, 07:22 UTC

    “I've mentioned this yesterday. Most likely we'll see a sweep of the recent lows for #Bitcoin and that should be the end of this correction. The sweep has now happened. https://t.co/ed28YTIOB5”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferred
    -0.44%neutralEvidence ↗
  • 7 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC

    “We're almost at the end of the correction for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/sAacnsE4J5”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 7 Oct 2026, 10:11 UTC

    “#Bitcoin looks to be that we're going to be seeing a larger form of correction. That means, we'll probably take the long side liquidity and reverse after that. Phenomenal entry opportunity. https://t.co/WezHPIOHxg”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferredrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
  • 6 Oct 2026, 18:40 UTC

    “I'm standing by this thesis. Sure, $NEAR is one of the anchors of the portfolio. It doesn't mean that I'm going to be holding this for eternity. I'm a trader and I'm looking for asymmetric opportunities. That's why I rotate within the cycle, but that also mean I'll be rotating more towards #Bitcoin or just towards cash or even other assets. My top picks I'm holding right now: $PLUME, $ONDO, $W, $EIGEN & $TAO.”

    BTC▲ Bullishinferred
    -2.48%incorrectEvidence ↗
  • 6 Oct 2026, 09:52 UTC

    “This is correct. A very bullish chart on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/beHrQrZlKX”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicitrepeat
    —unscoredEvidence ↗
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