Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Sept 2026, 14:32 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 26 Sept 2026, 10:30 UTC · context given to the AI

Friday’s 2-year Treasury yield fell from 4.87% to 4.81%, while the 30-year rose to 5.49%. The Fed can influence short rates. It cannot order investors to finance 30 years of deficits cheaply. Printing money is their only option.

As long as the rates go up, or remain flat, there's no problem for the markets. Sure, it's going to break the markets at some point, but increased interest rates is bullish for the markets until they go too high. That's the window where #Bitcoin will be doing extremely well. https://t.co/QXvI7BhYY3

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“The picture of #Bitcoin remains unchanged. If this flips the level at $84,800, that's when I think it's going to be likely that we'll test $90,000. https://t.co/fww14Ww0vA”Repeat26 Sept 2026, 08:40 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “That's the window where #Bitcoin will be doing extremely well.”
Confidence: 80%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.00%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.