Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Sept 2026, 08:40 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

The picture of #Bitcoin remains unchanged. If this flips the level at $84,800, that's when I think it's going to be likely that we'll test $90,000. https://t.co/fww14Ww0vA
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

  • “As long as the rates go up, or remain flat, there's no problem for the markets. Sure, it's going to break the markets at some point, but increased interest rates is bullish for the markets until they go too high. That's the window where #Bitcoin will be doing extremely well. https://t.co/QXvI7BhYY3”Repeat26 Sept 2026, 14:32 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“If this flips the level at $84,800, that's when I think it's going to be likely that we'll test $90,000.”
Confidence
80%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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