Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 14 Sept 2026, 20:31 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 14 Sept 2026, 15:27 UTC · context given to the AI
I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AFIndeed, $78,000 is the crucial trigger. Massive breakout on the horizon and this won't stop soon. #Bitcoin is in a bull market. https://t.co/DxzdevHZsLView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF”Repeat14 Sept 2026, 15:27 UTC
- “Unfortunately, #Bitcoin isn't holding $78,000. This means that we might be looking at a deeper sweep before we continue to go up (although we're stuck in the range). It starts to look a lot like the price action we've seen at the end of August. Chop, chop, sweep of the low and then push upwards.”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 07:27 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “#Bitcoin is in a bull market.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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