Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Sept 2026, 15:27 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

  • “Indeed, $78,000 is the crucial trigger. Massive breakout on the horizon and this won't stop soon. #Bitcoin is in a bull market. https://t.co/DxzdevHZsL”Repeat14 Sept 2026, 20:31 UTC
  • “Unfortunately, #Bitcoin isn't holding $78,000. This means that we might be looking at a deeper sweep before we continue to go up (although we're stuck in the range). It starts to look a lot like the price action we've seen at the end of August. Chop, chop, sweep of the low and then push upwards.”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 07:27 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here.”
Confidence
90%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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