Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 11 Aug 2026, 19:21 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 11 Aug 2026, 17:24 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC pumped after the last 2 CPI data. June CPI: Bitcoin pumped 10.75% in a week. July CPI: Bitcoin pumped 7.58% in a week. Tomorrow, US CPI data will released again. What'll happen this time? https://t.co/IYfFCl70PTIf CPI data comes in greatly tomorrow: $BTC goes up. Just simple. As you can see in this chart, the days prior to the release of the CPI data, the markets are going down. This time, nothing changed. Just the same standard. https://t.co/ghywJ8uoooView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “There are so many bottom signals everywhere on the markets for #Bitcoin. Everybody keeps expecting lower numbers, but with all the bottom signals it's going to be really hard to make #Bitcoin drop another 40%.”Repeat11 Aug 2026, 12:20 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (stated in post)
- Evidence span
- “If CPI data comes in greatly tomorrow: $BTC goes up.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
Request a correction
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction