Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 11 Aug 2026, 12:20 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
There are so many bottom signals everywhere on the markets for #Bitcoin. Everybody keeps expecting lower numbers, but with all the bottom signals it's going to be really hard to make #Bitcoin drop another 40%.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “If CPI data comes in greatly tomorrow: $BTC goes up. Just simple. As you can see in this chart, the days prior to the release of the CPI data, the markets are going down. This time, nothing changed. Just the same standard. https://t.co/ghywJ8uooo”Repeat11 Aug 2026, 19:21 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “There are so many bottom signals everywhere on the markets for #Bitcoin.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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