XO

Provisional

@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ

Coverage 15 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026

Accuracy

42.9%

Wilson LB 15.8%

Directional sample

7

3 more to rank

Correct / incorrect

3 / 4

Neutral

7

Resolution rate 50%

vs always-bullish

+0.0 pts

Baseline 42.9%

Pending · unresolved · unscored

0 · 0 · 7

Accuracy trend

By publication month · 24 hours horizon

0%25%50%75%100%always-bullish 43%1 directional outcomes6 directional outcomes0 directional outcomesAug: 100.0% (1 outcomes)Sept: 33.3% (6 outcomes)AugSeptOct
AccuracyAlways-bullish baselineSample size

Bullish / bearish split

▲ Bullish8 calls · 5 directional40.0%
▼ Bearish6 calls · 2 directional50.0%

By asset

3 months · 24h

  • BTC 3 directional33.3%
  • ETH 2 directional50.0%
  • SOL 2 directional50.0%

Prediction history

3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence

  • 30 Sept 2026, 15:33 UTC

    “$SOL Tagged the Y/O almost to the tick... personally positioned short from the area - gives me downside cover against my spot play. What matters now is the character of any sell-off. Do we roll over with momentum and acceptance lower, or spend the coming weeks ranging and distributing? The measured move on this rally is similar to March- April 2022 - but the macro structure coming into the respective lows is significantly different to that of 2022. I'm increasingly interested in whether we're beginning to develop a much larger, multi-month structural range between the 60s and 120s. If so, the environment becomes far more rotational, plenty of opportunity on both sides rather than a market that demands a persistent directional bias. That's currently where I lean. The alternative is equally simple: this is consolidation before another leg higher. 125s remains my line in the sand above here and I flip - back under again... will sell again”

    SOL▼ Bearishexplicit
    -1.64%correctEvidence ↗
  • 20 Sept 2026, 18:28 UTC

    “$ETH Eth has been rangebound for the last several years... I'd like to believe this goes past the previous ath's in terms of a cyclical play... The play for me is simple - I'll keep adding if theres anything meaningful correction... and hedge spot exposure at key macro levels... Bankless sends its regards...”

    ETH▲ Bullishexplicit
    +5.03%correctEvidence ↗
  • 26 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC

    “So for what it’s worth - iirc It’s more about how one can use near intents or ZCash zsa’s should the latter eventually be rolled out to mainnet Would it be something I’d use - probably, yes Do I need to hold the relevant crypto - no Most coins are just speculative - still believe it’s over hyped trash that’s good for trading. Bitcoin is king.”

    BTC▲ Bullishexplicit
    +1.90%correctEvidence ↗