Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Oct 2026, 16:17 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:26 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 11 Oct 2026, 16:01 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin REFUSES To Crash - Even Peter Schiff Admits He’s Surprised 00:00 Can We Trust the Fed’s Inflation and Jobs Data? 04:41 Did the Fed Hike Rates Into a Weakening Economy? 06:37 The Bond Bear Market and Rising Mortgage Rates 10:17 America’s High-Debt, High-Interest-Rate Trap 14:44 Can AI Actually Save the U.S. Economy? 21:37 The Massive Debt Problem Behind the AI Boom 24:36 Money Printing and the Coming Debt Spiral 26:59 Why the U.S. Housing Market Could Break 30:04 Has the Stock Market Already Started Breaking? 34:03 Bitcoin, Gold and the Debasement Trade 36:00 Why Bitcoin Has Held Up While Gold Fell 38:29 How the Midterms Could Impact Bitcoin 47:34 How Should Families Protect Their Wealth? 51:11 Final Thoughts
Peter Schiff says crypto's support for Trump has made Democrats its enemy, and they'll do whatever they can to go after the industry "Trump's campaign was financed in large part by the crypto industry, and Trump overwhelmingly won the crypto vote by promising to do things specifically to enrich people who own Bitcoin." "You know, I'm gonna establish a Bitcoin reserve. We're gonna use taxpayer money to buy Bitcoin. We're gonna make the United States the Bitcoin capital of the world. I'm a Bitcoin president. I have a Bitcoin cabinet. I have a crypto czar. All the Bitcoin people were enthusiastically supporting Trump because they thought that Trump would make them rich, because Trump was gonna drive up the value of Bitcoin." "The Democrats now are antagonistic, because now they see that Bitcoin is a source of funding for Republicans, a source of votes. So now the Democrats are anti-Bitcoin just for that reason alone, forget about anything else." "They're gonna be very hostile. They're gonna go after Trump's donors. They're gonna go after the industries that support him. They're gonna go after his voters, right? So they're gonna do whatever they can to make things difficult for that industry." "Now, Trump is still the president, but he won't be president for much longer. But a lot of this comes out of Congress. So I think that the tables are gonna turn, and Washington is gonna be more of an enemy than a friend when it comes to Bitcoin."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▼ Bearish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“I think that the tables are gonna turn, and Washington is gonna be more of an enemy than a friend when it comes to Bitcoin.”
Confidence
60%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (60%)
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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