Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 7 Oct 2026, 18:07 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:14 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
Bitcoin & Ethereum are dipping. Tom Lee says BUY. Here he explains why he believes the next crypto bull market could be the BIGGEST EVER. Explained in under 4 minutes 👇 https://t.co/zkAgKnJcoiView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,373 at 7 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,436 at 8 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 81436.05 / 83372.78 − 1 = -2.32%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -2.32%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Tom Lee says BUY.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $83,373
- Evaluation price
- $81,436
- Move
- -2.32%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0