Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 6 Oct 2026, 19:52 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:14 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
Solana Company CEO: When China comes back to crypto, ANOTHER crypto supercycle will begin. https://t.co/4jd7tNtxNxView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $120.80 at 6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $115.82 at 7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 115.82 / 120.8 − 1 = -4.12%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -4.12%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “When China comes back to crypto, ANOTHER crypto supercycle will begin.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $120.80
- Evaluation price
- $115.82
- Move
- -4.12%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0