Prediction
Leaderboard

Prediction accuracy, not profit · Every call has evidence · Rules frozen before scoring · Missing prices never estimated · Repeat calls count once · Scores as of 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC · Policy v1.0 · Prediction accuracy, not profit · Every call has evidence · Rules frozen before scoring · Missing prices never estimated · Repeat calls count once · Scores as of 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC · Policy v1.0 · Prediction accuracy, not profit · Every call has evidence · Rules frozen before scoring · Missing prices never estimated · Repeat calls count once · Scores as of 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC · Policy v1.0 · Prediction accuracy, not profit · Every call has evidence · Rules frozen before scoring · Missing prices never estimated · Repeat calls count once · Scores as of 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC · Policy v1.0 ·

Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

JAMES WYNN

@JamesWynnReal

Bitcoin over $100k by EOY

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin over $100k by EOY”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: needs review · Unsupported horizon: "EOY"
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.00%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

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