Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

Wendy O

@CryptoWendyO

ARTHUR HAYES: $BTC TO $1 MILLION! MEGA BOMBSHELL on Michael Saylor Memecoins and MORE @CryptoHayes 00:00 Intro 01:28 Why Arthur Hayes Started BitMEX 03:24 Speculation Drives Crypto Adoption 05:13 Remember The BTC Crash To $3,400? 06:07 CME vs Hyperliquid 07:34 TradFi vs Crypto Tokenization 08:28 Saylor And Strategy Will Become Irrelevant 11:31 Memecoins vs Cash Flow Coins 15:06 Robinhood Memecoin Stock Pairs 16:54 Is The Memecoin Market Manipulated? 17:52 $1 Million BTC Price Prediction 19:32 FLOP And The Agentic Economy 25:21 Arthur Hayes' Biggest Crypto Calls Of 2026 26:39 Do You Still Need to Code In 2026? 27:14 Most Degenerate Crypto Experience

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@AltcoinSherpa Happiest at $1M BTC”Repeat5 Oct 2026, 13:32 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “ARTHUR HAYES: $BTC TO $1 MILLION!”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record