Prediction evidence

Quoting · 25 Jun 2026, 16:20 UTC · context given to the AI

thesis around buying bitcoin spot here is same as its always been hardest form of money non-seizable by govts & transferable cross borders instantaneously w/ out hassle, not affected by persistent devaluation of dollars & long term store of value to preserve wealth digital gold thesis took a hit in 2024/25 as gold outperformed during its first real rally since not making new all time highs since ~2011, believe that all it would take for confidence to return to this thesis would be momentum to the upside agree w/ @_tolks on dxy strength & upwards movements in rates dragging down gold but we are near peak hawkishness as inflation should subside as strait of hormuz reopens & gives room for warsh+fed to cut instead of hiking, lots of people sitting on realized gains from ai stocks & will diversify into RE+Cash+long term SOV of which gold & bitcoin both fit into that LT portfolio, insti interest from people like Paul Tudor Jones still present even with current negative press of saylor situation ive been very bearish btc because of saylor & didnt think 60k would hold at beginning of june but am reacting as buyers stepped in at key level, feels like we are currently pricing in the peak worst scenario of him having to sell as is evident by price action with mstr & strc, even if he does need to sell btc wont have to do so for ~6 months+ buying bitcoin here into beginning of Q3 is good trade setup at long term historical support converging with worst sentiment ive seen on the asset