Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 4 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
JAMES WYNN
@JamesWynnReal
We are due a runner, it’ll be on SOL or RHC. It always comes when you least expect it. Stay active. Stay vigilant. It may already be out there. Nobody knows.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $120.81 at 4 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $120.41 at 5 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
r = 120.41 / 120.81 − 1 = -0.33%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.33%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “We are due a runner, it’ll be on SOL or RHC.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $120.81
- Evaluation price
- $120.41
- Move
- -0.33%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0