Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 4 Oct 2026, 00:34 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06
there are demons on the 1 minute chart trying to convince you that the $BTC chart is somehow bearish stop listening to the demons, the pain trade is up https://t.co/nKlHbSCZhmView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,787 at 4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,639 at 5 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC.
r = 86639.24 / 84786.9 − 1 = +2.18%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +2.18%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “stop listening to the demons, the pain trade is up”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $84,787
- Evaluation price
- $86,639
- Move
- +2.18%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0