Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:22 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
The bottom is in. A new bull market has started. Any correction is an opportunity. Bears are in disbelief because they missed buying Bitcoin and alts at the low prices. BIGGEST. BULL. RUN. EVER.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $84,756 at 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,423 at 4 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 86423 / 84755.94 − 1 = +1.97%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.97%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “A new bull market has started.”
- Confidence
- 100%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $84,756
- Evaluation price
- $86,423
- Move
- +1.97%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0