Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Oct 2026, 15:50 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:22 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
It's Q4 2029: 1. Bitcoin is at $200K, ETH is at $15K, and Solana is above $1K. 2. The US government now holds 1M BTC, and the Clarity Act has passed. 3. BlackRock's Altcoin ETF has been approved, and alts are up 30x-50x. 4. China has banned crypto again, and India still thinks crypto is a scam. 5. MSTR BTC holdings are worth $200B, and BitMine now owns 10% of the ETH supply. 6. Bears are still calling this rally a bull trap and expecting a drop to $40K.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “It's Q4 2029: 1. Bitcoin is at $200K, ETH is at $15K, and Solana is above $1K. 2. The US government now holds 1M BTC, and the Clarity Act has passed. 3. BlackRock's Altcoin ETF has been approved, and alts are up 30x-50x. 4. China has banned crypto again, and India still thinks crypto is a scam. 5. MSTR BTC holdings are worth $200B, and BitMine now owns 10% of the ETH supply. 6. Bears are still calling this rally a bull trap and expecting a drop to $40K.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "Q4 2029"; Evidence not found in post
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0