Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Oct 2026, 13:01 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:27 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Bitcoin To $113K? Citi Just Raised Its Target By 38% https://t.co/ml4mrS8SYR

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Bitwise surveyed 15 institutions, and none cut their Bitcoin exposure during the drawdown "You're asking what their allocations were - they were anywhere from 0.5% to 13%, pretty big for an institution, although most were somewhere between 1% and 2%, which is what we would anticipate." "Probably, when we get to the point where Bitcoin has reached mainstream adoption and everyone owns it, or 50% of people own it, it would probably be a 1% to 2% allocation, maybe pushing 3% to 5%." "So what should you be doing? What your high-school-dropout cousin Ray told you to do, sell Bitcoin at the bottom and panic? Or what BlackRock is doing, add to their allocation when the price is down? Seems quite obvious to me which side you'd want to be on." "Of course, this is an anonymous sample. It's small. I'm sure Bitwise selected them. But 15 for 15, none of these people reduced their exposure at all."”Repeat30 Sept 2026, 16:52 UTC
“📈 U.S. SPOT BITCOIN $BTC ETFS RECORD 9 STRAIGHT DAYS OF INFLOWS, PULLING IN A COMBINED $3.07B”Repeat1 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC
“Bitcoin To $113K? Citi Just Raised Its Target By 38% | @matthew_sigel Discussing Live @ 9 AM EST https://t.co/nbCuFwecGR https://t.co/iqkNj52djZ”Repeat1 Oct 2026, 12:28 UTC
“VanEck's Matthew Sigel on two ways higher yields could be bullish for Bitcoin "If the higher yields choke off the AI story, which is a legitimate bear case that people are grappling with, then there's a capital rotation. The whole debt market was primed to absorb a bunch of supply and build out these data centers." "Let's just say the bears are right, and Mag 7 cuts CapEx because the bond market is like, no, we're just not gonna fund this. Well, they may take 1% of that and fund a Bitcoin position instead. That would be the rotation story." "And then in terms of higher yields causing something other than AI to break, let's say it's a financial. People have the Silicon Valley Bank episode in their memories, where it's a one-weekend or short dislocation, quickly followed by a policy response. That reinforces why Bitcoin exists in the first place." "So I think that's my bull case, which I believe in and am putting capital behind."”Repeat1 Oct 2026, 13:53 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin To $113K? Citi Just Raised Its Target By 38%”
Confidence: 80%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record