Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 1 Oct 2026, 07:28 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:22 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
Solana is up 70% in the last 60 days. ETFs bought $271,000,000 worth of $SOL in September, the largest buying in 10 months. https://t.co/I4FNvqGtrJView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $117.44 at 1 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $121.70 at 2 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 121.7 / 117.44 − 1 = +3.63%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +3.63%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “ETFs bought $271,000,000 worth of $SOL in September, the largest buying in 10 months.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $117.44
- Evaluation price
- $121.70
- Move
- +3.63%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0