Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Sept 2026, 14:04 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:27 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 29 Sept 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin DOUBLED The Last Time Rates Got This High | Mark Yusko https://t.co/KZ6MGCR7q5
Mark Yusko on why higher rates aren't bad for Bitcoin "What does a rising rate environment actually mean? Is it restrictive? People think, oh, if they lower rates, that's printing money; if they raise rates, it's not. That's not actually how it works." "If the Treasury is buying back bonds in size, that is essentially printing money, it's creating money out of thin air to buy back the obligations that you issued before." "The bottom line is you've got to look at total liquidity, and you have to look at global liquidity. China is actually running the printing press much, much faster than anybody else, and global liquidity today, every day, makes new highs." "So the idea that higher rates are bad for Bitcoin just doesn't make any sense to me. Higher rates, interestingly, are a sign of economic strength. Low rates are a sign of economic weakness." "In a world of abundance and economic strength, I'm not sure I buy completely that we're there, but if we were there, that's actually better for any store of value, because in that environment governments are going to print lots and lots and lots of money." "So yeah, lowering rates usually comes when things break."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“So the idea that higher rates are bad for Bitcoin just doesn't make any sense to me.”
Confidence
60%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (60%)
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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