Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 28 Sept 2026, 19:21 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
Quoting · 28 Sept 2026, 19:17 UTC · context given to the AI
LATEST: @BitMNR's holdings cross 6 million $ETH, worth $16.1B as Chairman @fundstrat declares a bull market underway and the company approaches its 5% supply target. https://t.co/bCmLgGqbkeTommy Lee is the biggest Ethereum bull $ETH to $10,000 https://t.co/uruTYmeFDlView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,672 at 28 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,689 at 29 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 2688.92 / 2672.27 − 1 = +0.62%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.62%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$ETH to $10,000”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,672
- Evaluation price
- $2,689
- Move
- +0.62%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0