Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 28 Sept 2026, 17:53 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:33 UTC
Anthony Pompliano 🌪
@APompliano
This is the number one reason why Bitcoin is eventually going to $1 million…View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,847 at 28 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,048 at 29 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 83047.65 / 83846.96 − 1 = -0.95%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.95%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “This is the number one reason why Bitcoin is eventually going to $1 million…”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $83,847
- Evaluation price
- $83,048
- Move
- -0.95%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0