Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Sept 2026, 16:01 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:27 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 28 Sept 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin Falls To $82K After ETFs Just Bought $2.4 BILLION https://t.co/YFamPaupz9
David Duong says BTC could creep above $100,000 by year end, and de-dollarization isn't why "The de-dollarization theme is definitely one that drives Bitcoin. To a longer term kind of thinking, this is definitely how I see Bitcoin fall inside people's portfolios, because this is the hedge against whether any of these kind of currencies, including the dollar, probably won't have long term value." "But it's just whether it's something I'm pricing right now, that's the only kind of pushback I would have. I don't think it's what truly is driving any purchases that we get in the short term." "I think the short term has a lot more to do with: okay, technicals have been pretty poor for a while, things are recovering, liquidity is back, this looks like an asset that looks attractive right now. And I think this is kind of why we're seeing Bitcoin creeping higher." "But this is irrespective of the fundamental kinda macro that a lot of people are trying to attach the story to."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“David Duong says BTC could creep above $100,000 by year end”
Confidence
80%
Review state
needs review · Unsupported horizon: "by year end"
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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