Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 28 Sept 2026, 13:47 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:27 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 28 Sept 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin Falls To $82K After ETFs Just Bought $2.4 BILLION https://t.co/YFamPaupz9Dave says being bond bullish is the same as being Bitcoin bullish "I keep saying to Mike that being bond bullish is actually the same thing as being Bitcoin bullish. If there were to be a big rally in bonds, it would benefit Bitcoin more, for a whole host of reasons." "But if you're incredibly bearish on bonds, then you can make an argument that that will be destructive for what we term risk assets." "I will, however, report something. We're now coming up on the one-year anniversary of a complete delinking between Bitcoin and risk assets, in fact, of crypto and the rest of risk assets. Where the crypto markets got absolutely hammered while stock markets and other risk markets did extremely well." "And so to say that it can't go in opposite direction is wrong. They can. But obviously, if you're having a massive sell-off, it won't."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Dave says being bond bullish is the same as being Bitcoin bullish”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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