Prediction evidence

Avichal Garg on the three crypto categories he's investing in "One is, I think the store of value chains are still very interesting. So for us that's primarily BTC and ETH. I think those have ascended into sort of prospective store of value territory. Effectively fixed supply, easy to subdivide, easy to transfer, all the check marks that you would want. And they appeal to different communities." "The second category is anything that has some sort of fee mechanism built into it and deals with financial assets and transactions. You could put SOL into this, put HYPE into this. Our take on those has always been that you have to be very mindful of the fees, you have to think about what the fee take rate is, and then you treat it like an equity." "These are assets that take fees in dollars and make them available to people all over the world who don't have access to dollar instruments. So if you're in Vietnam, if you're in Nigeria, if you're in Turkey, you can buy into these things, and you may not be able to get actual US equities." "To own a piece of a thing that produces US dollar cash flows and can effectively give you a distribution of US dollars in the form of buybacks is a really valuable thing. And the way that the market will express that is a much higher PE ratio, in my opinion, than you get on the US equity markets, because the buyers have fewer alternatives." "Then there's this emerging category of applications that use these primitives that could not otherwise exist. Applications that essentially use distributed compute, confidential compute, zero knowledge proofs and proof generation. Some of those things will look like companies, some of those things won't even look like token networks."