Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 26 Sept 2026, 06:41 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:19 UTC
MMCrypto
@MMCrypto
BITCOIN: BIG, BIG WARNING!!!!!!!!! 👉 https://t.co/Z4gYhwvoas [click] https://t.co/9LBFt7n837View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,883 at 26 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,495 at 27 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
r = 84495.37 / 83882.65 − 1 = +0.73%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = -0.73%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “BITCOIN: BIG, BIG WARNING!!!!!!!!!”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $83,883
- Evaluation price
- $84,495
- Move
- +0.73%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0