Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 25 Sept 2026, 20:45 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
The thing is also, #Bitcoin is not even towards an all-time high and the momentum is already like this. Imagine what will happen when #Bitcoin breaks the all-time high.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,868 at 25 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $84,016 at 26 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 84016.33 / 83867.63 − 1 = +0.18%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.18%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Imagine what will happen when #Bitcoin breaks the all-time high.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $83,868
- Evaluation price
- $84,016
- Move
- +0.18%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0