Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 25 Sept 2026, 14:08 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
XO
@Trader_XO
Quoting · 25 Sept 2026, 09:04 UTC · context given to the AI
$ETH Scenario Im looking for is Acceptance above 2720 then looking to trade a rotation towards Mondays Highs into 29s - Yearly open... h4 stoch all but reset. Failure to find acceptance keep this 23-27 range in play. https://t.co/NYUsCYoF5O https://t.co/gNgPxfMerpAnd that’s why I’ve never been a huge fan of rigid trading plans being shared ahead of time... Took the long above 2710s. Liquidations came in, with no passive support - the information changed, so I cut it. Price trading back under 2720... flipped short. You’re not going to get that from a signal service. Have scenarios mapped out ahead of time, understand the why behind them, then remain fluid enough to respond to the information the market actually generates.... cut and reverse drills...View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,696 at 25 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,689 at 26 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2688.58 / 2695.5 − 1 = -0.26%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = +0.26%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Price trading back under 2720... flipped short.”
- Confidence
- 100%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,696
- Evaluation price
- $2,689
- Move
- -0.26%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0