Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 22 Sept 2026, 11:57 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
$ETH is getting into an interesting zone. If this area breaks, the next area of resistance is likely $3,400 and that would mean that we're back into a new range. I don't think we'll see anything sub $2,000 in the near future again. https://t.co/3ubLBpC10sView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,741 at 22 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,727 at 23 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 2726.91 / 2741.42 − 1 = -0.53%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.53%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “If this area breaks, the next area of resistance is likely $3,400 and that would mean that we're back into a new range.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,741
- Evaluation price
- $2,727
- Move
- -0.53%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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