Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Sept 2026, 20:46 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
I may be severely depressed but at least Bitcoin is pumping I love crypto https://t.co/yGKBRZuHBKView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,980 at 21 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,287 at 22 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 86286.98 / 86980.03 − 1 = -0.80%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.80%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “at least Bitcoin is pumping”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $86,980
- Evaluation price
- $86,287
- Move
- -0.80%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0