Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Sept 2026, 19:41 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
What a breakout of #Bitcoin. I don't think I'd be betting against this trend. This won't stop soon. Not after a day like this. Next stop: $90,000-91,000. If there's enough strength, we might even run to $98,000-100,000 in this rally. The bear market is over. https://t.co/XrSQZcecbUView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $86,490 at 21 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,213 at 22 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 86213.28 / 86490.34 − 1 = -0.32%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.32%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Next stop: $90,000-91,000. If there's enough strength, we might even run to $98,000-100,000 in this rally.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $86,490
- Evaluation price
- $86,213
- Move
- -0.32%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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