Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Sept 2026, 17:19 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:27 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 21 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC · context given to the AI

https://t.co/wh6hVy8CUu
Strategy and Strive are buying $BTC, treasury narrative could make a comeback "Strategy did not do any financial wizardry this week to buy BTC. They actually took that 2nd USD reserve that they'd been building and started to use that to buy more BTC. They were able to buy $75.7 million." "They also bought $174 million worth of STRC, which last I checked was floating right up to about $99, almost at par. And they used $57.5 million from their USD reserve to pay preferred dividends." "Strategy ended the week last week with approximately $5 billion in its designated USD reserve, that's paying dividends and such, and $1.05 billion in flexible USD cash. So this is cash they had raised over the past few weeks, they were able to use to buy more BTC here this week." "Strive is still doing what Strategy used to be able to do, which is basically selling shares of ASST, of Strive, and selling their preferred, SATA, and using that cash immediately to buy BTC." "Many people pointed out that as bad as the treasury space is, as much of a disaster as it is, that maybe the biggest cure for all of them is much higher prices." "That doesn't mean, of course, that shareholders who bought at a 25x premium to mNAV are going to actually do well. They probably won't, but we could see a resurgence in the treasury space and the treasury narrative."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“Many people pointed out that as bad as the treasury space is, as much of a disaster as it is, that maybe the biggest cure for all of them is much higher prices.”
Confidence
60%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (60%)
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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