Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Sept 2026, 17:27 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
In reply to · 20 Sept 2026, 17:26 UTC · context given to the AI
@CryptoWendyO yeah i mean ofc it wont but its fun to pretend it will bitcoin will always be king 250k.@itszore $1MView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,129 at 20 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $85,907 at 21 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 85907.4 / 81129.33 − 1 = +5.89%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +5.89%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “@itszore $1M”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $81,129
- Evaluation price
- $85,907
- Move
- +5.89%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0