Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 19 Sept 2026, 02:02 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:15 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
Altcoin Season Has 100% Begun TimeStamps: 00:00 Intro 00:26 The Actual Reason $BTC Is Going Up 01:42 Big Money Is Coming To Crypto $ETH 03:10 HyperLiquid Exploding - Trade Now 04:33 $SOL Signal 05:47 Top AI Crypto Coin To Watch $TAO 10:51 Altcoin Season Has 100% Begun $HYPE https://t.co/4aJOPe2bAoView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,623 at 19 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,573 at 20 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC.
r = 2573 / 2622.94 − 1 = -1.90%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -1.90%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Big Money Is Coming To Crypto $ETH”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $2,623
- Evaluation price
- $2,573
- Move
- -1.90%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0