Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Sept 2026, 17:48 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
$ETH / $BTC Are you ready for ETH szn? https://t.co/JwpGBSOuZrView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,606 at 18 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,645 at 19 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 2644.8 / 2606.36 − 1 = +1.47%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.47%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Are you ready for ETH szn?”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,606
- Evaluation price
- $2,645
- Move
- +1.47%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0